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Showing posts with label doubt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label doubt. Show all posts

Monday, December 10, 2012

Can Economics Explain Human Sacrifice?

In my economic critique of peer progressivism...I started off by making the point that it's a huge mistake to underestimate the scope of economics.  Peter Leeson, in his recent paper on human sacrifice...Law, Economics, and Superstition: Human Sacrifice...concludes with the same point...
It's unnecessary and, I would argue, unhelpful, to approach the institutionalized purchase and ritual slaughter of innocent persons by abandoning rational choice theory. Not only does such abandonment leave one of history's  most well-known and intriguing institutions unexplained. It suggests that puzzling human behaviors and practices are beyond the power of economics to illuminate.
This outstanding conclusion, just on its own, makes his paper extremely praiseworthy.  The fact that relatively  few economists engage in economic imperialism helps explain why Leeson's theory of human sacrifice is so far off base.      

In his paper he argues that the Konds engaged in human sacrifice in order to signal to other tribes that they had spent their surplus wealth on purchasing humans to sacrifice.  The point of this signal was to decrease other tribes' incentive to conduct raids on the tribe that had given up its wealth.  Therefore, the tribe that conducted the sacrifice did so in order to protect its property.  

The correct economic explanation was shared in a comment on Mark Movsesian's's blog entry...If Only the Aztecs Had Known...
Mark, there IS an “economic” aspect to human sacrifice, in the sense that all appeasement religions are transactional. The society says to the god, “We’ll give you this, and in return you’ll give us that, or [more likely] you won’t do that.” It’s the logic of the protection rackett. - ChrisZ
This economic explanation is so "self-evident" that it gives incredible weight to Leeson's conclusion.  Economists should not be puzzled by ritualistic sacrifice.  That they are indicates that there is a huge gap in their understanding of economics.  In the beginning of his paper Leeson highlights this problem...
Even the economists who have mentioned human sacrifice take this view. One asserts that human sacrifice is "properly considered as noneconomic" and thus beyond the explanatory power of rational choice theory (Hunter, Teaf, and Hirschman 1957: 59). A more recent reference adduces human sacrifice in support of behavioralist doubts about the canonical rendition of "economic man" (Ainslie 2005: 816).
Here's more evidence of the problem...
Together, tradition- and command-run societies constitute the vast preponderance of all known, or inferred, social entities, but as I have tried to show, economics supplies no operational insight into their workings. - Robert L. Heilbroner, Putting economics in its place - Defining the Boundaries of Social Inquiry
In this blog entry I'll offer evidence that proves that economics has supplied, and continues to supply, operational insight into human behavior...specifically...ritualistic sacrifice.

In a nutshell...economics is the study of how humans overcome scarcity.  The goal is always abundance...of love, happiness, wealth, meaning, knowledge, prestige and so on.

A few months ago, over on the NationStates forum, I posted a thread on Prayer and Sacrifice.  In my post I shared this passage by Derrida...
Sacrifice will always be distinguished from the pure gift (if there is any). The sacrifice proposes an offering but only in the form of a destruction against which it exchanges, hopes for, or counts on a benefit, namely, a surplus-value or at least an amortization, a protection, and a security. - Jacques Derrida
...and this dialogue from John Holbo's book Reason and Persuasion...
S: You could have been much more concise, Euthyphro, if you wanted to, by answering the main part of my question. You're not exactly dying to teach me - that much is clear. You were just on the point of doing so, but you turned aside. If you had given the answer, I would already be well versed in holiness, thanks to you. But as it is, the lover of inquiry must chase after his beloved, wherever he may lead him. Once more then: what do you say that the holy is, or holiness? Don't you say it's a kind of science of sacrifice and prayer?
E: I do.
S: To sacrifice is to give a gift to the gods; to pray is to ask them for something?
E: Definitely, Socrates.
S: Then holiness must be a science of begging from the gods and giving to them, on this account.
E: You have grasped my meaning perfectly, Socrates.
S: That is because I want so badly to take in your wisdom that I concentrate my whole intellect upon it, lest a word of yours fall to the ground. But tell me, what is this service to the gods? You say it is to beg from them and give to them?
E: I do
S: And to ask correctly would be to ask them to give us the things we need?
E: What else?
S: And to give correctly is to give them in return what they need from us? For it would hardly represent skill in giving to offer a gift that is not needed in the least.
E: True, Socrates
S: Holiness will then be a sort of art for bartering between gods and men?
E: Bartering, yes - if you prefer to call it that.
...and the story from 1 Kings 18:  God caused a drought because people were worshiping Baal...Elijah challenged the priests of Baal to a competition...the people loved the idea...Baal's priests had technical difficulties...Elijah talked mad smack...
And it came to pass at noon, that Elijah mocked them, and said, Cry aloud: for he is a god; either he is talking, or he is pursuing, or he is in a journey, or peradventure he sleepeth, and must be awaked.
When Elijah offered his sacrifice and prayer...God's response left no room for doubt.

I thought I had shared enough evidence to prove that sacrifice is simply exchange between believers and their deities.  But evidently my evidence was not conclusive because here was the first reply...
I disagree that people sacrifice in a sort of psychological contract, quid pro quo.
Walter Burkert says we have a deep impulse (he says it is evolutionary) to sacrifice in order to allevaite anxiety, in particular, anxiety about the unknown. 
All over the world, primitive religions practice finger sacrifice (Stephen King had a creepy early book about this). It is almost universal. What could we hope to gain from chopping off a finger? Yet it apparently satisfies a deep inner need; perhaps it could even be related to cutting.
http://books.google.com/books/about/Cre ... jRg_3p1s4C
Also see Sir James Frazier.
What could somebody hope to gain from chopping off a finger?  If you want to know what somebody would hope to gain from a sacrifice...just listen to their prayers...
"Old-women's Grandson," ran the words of a Crow Indian's prayer to the Morning Star, "I give you this joint [of my finger], give me something good in exchange...I am poor, give me a good horse. I want to strike one of the enemy and I want to marry a good-natured woman. I want a tent of my own to live." "During the period of my visits to the Crow (1907-1916)," wrote Professor Lowie, to whom we owe the recording of this pitiful prayer, "I saw few old men with left hands intact." - Joseph Campbell, Primitive Mythology
What could the Kond hope to gain from sacrifice?  Just listen to their prayers...
The priests receive the heads of all the slaughtered animals. The remaining flesh, eggs, and everything else that has been brought are put together into a big pot and cooked before the hut. All partake of this cooked meat. Then the priest speaks to the Penu: "Look here, Mother, we have given you such a sumptuous, luxurious meal and celebrated a solemn observance; now please, graciously bless us all and bestow on us good and copious crops, prosperity and health. If you condescend to grant us our humble request, we assure you that we will prepare a grand feast next year again, otherwise we shall discontinue it for two or three years" - Frederick Volkomor Paul, The religion of the Kuvi-Konds, their customs and folk-lore
It's simple bartering between believers and their gods...which is what Socrates teased Euthyphro about.  Based on this example...we can see that ChrisZ's "protection racket" comparison doesn't quite hold up...given that the priest threatened to boycott the goddess if the terms of trade were not upheld.

Here's a prayer that I find especially endearing...
'Let our herds be so numerous that they cannot be housed; let children so abound that the care of them shall overcome their parents - as shall be seen by their burned hands; let our heads ever strike against brass pots innumerable hanging from our roofs; let the rats form their nests of shreds of scarlet cloth and silk; let all the kites in the country be seen in the trees of our village, from beasts being killed there every day.  We are ignorant of what it is good to ask for.  You know what is good for us.  Give it to us!' - Edward Burnett Tylor, Primitive culture
Does it somehow become "noneconomic" if humans are sacrificed instead of cattle?
Human sacrifice, after all, is only one alternative on a continuous line of substitutable sacrificial articles running from at one end betel nuts and palm wine, through eggs, chickens, goats, and pigs to water buffalo, to ultimately humans. The best way to demonstrate one's potency is to sacrifice the most valuable object or objects one can. If a state or leader is very potent, then presumably it or he can afford to sacrifice human heads when important projects are undertaken, such as opening fields or building temples. Of course, by doing so the state places itself in competition with local sovereignties. - R. H. Barnes, Construction Sacrifice, Kidnapping and Head-Hunting Rumors on Flores and Elsewhere in Indonesia
The economic term for this is "demonstrated preference".  What you are willing to sacrifice reveals how much you truly value something.  From Bryan Caplan's post...Rand on Totalitarian Motives...
"I don't know, however, whether I'd include blood in my methods."
"Why not?  Anyone can sacrifice his own life for an idea.  How many know the devotion that makes you capable of sacrificing other lives?"
She looked at him.  She said slowly, simply: "I've never thought of that.  Perhaps you're right."
In another post of his....The Banality of Leninism...he shares this passage from Crime and Punishment...
I maintain in my article that all...well, legislators and leaders of men, such as Lycurgus, Solon, Mahomet, Napoleon, and so on, were all without exception criminals, from the very fact that, making a new law, they transgressed the ancient one, handed down from their ancestors and held sacred by the people, and they did not stop short at bloodshed either, if that bloodshed -- often of innocent persons fighting bravely in defense of ancient law -- were of use to their cause. It's remarkable, in fact, that the majority, indeed, of these benefactors and leaders of humanity were guilty of terrible carnage. In short, I maintain that all great men or even men a little out of the common, that is to say capable of giving some new word, must from their very nature be criminals--more or less, of course.
...which complements this passage by Nietzsche...
But have you ever asked yourselves sufficiently how much the erection of every ideal on earth has cost? How much reality has had to be misunderstood and slandered, how many lies have had to be sanctified, how many consciences disturbed, how much "God" sacrificed every time? If a temple is to be erected a temple must be destroyed: that is the law - let anyone who can show me a case in which it is not fulfilled! 
Markets work because we have the freedom to give our offerings/sacrifice/money to any new temple that provides us with more blessings/benefit than older temples.  Because we all only have finite resources...the offerings we give to our new temples cannot also be given to our older temples.  So not only do we have the freedom to choose which new temples we help erect...each and every one of gets to choose exactly which temples we help destroy.  Given that we all want to maximize our blessings/benefit...we will choose to sacrifice the least beneficial temples.  This is how we make progress.  We give up something less valuable in exchange for something more valuable.  This is why free-trade leads to abundance.

Demonstrated preference, which is key to free-trade, is commonly expressed in the challenge to "put your money where your mouth is"...
Overall, I am for betting because I am against bullshit. Bullshit is polluting our discourse and drowning the facts. A bet costs the bullshitter more than the non-bullshitter so the willingness to bet signals honest belief. A bet is a tax on bullshit; and it is a just tax, tribute paid by the bullshitters to those with genuine knowledge. - Alex Tabarrok, A Bet is a Tax on Bullshit
Genuine knowledge is extremely important because economies are based on the garbage in, garbage out concept...
These extraordinarily complex micro-relationships are what we are really referring to when we speak of “the economy.” It is definitely not a single, simple process for producing a uniform, aggregate glop. Moreover, when we speak of “economic action,” we are referring to the choices that millions of diverse participants make in selecting one course of action and setting aside a possible alternative. Without choice, constrained by scarcity, no true economic action takes place. Thus, vulgar Keynesianism, which purports to be an economic model or at least a coherent framework of economic analysis, actually excludes the very possibility of genuine economic action, substituting for it a simple, mechanical conception, the intellectual equivalent of a baby toy. - Robert Higgs, Recession and Recovery 
Without each and every one of our valuations of the opportunity costs...without all our decentralized knowledge...the output will be bullshit.

Let's zoom out from the actual economics and consider again the scope of economics...
The concept of "exchange" continues to be a popular way of making sense of certain religious practices.  The recently edited Guide to the Study of Religion (2000) includes a chapter on "exchange."  Gregory Alles, the author of this chapter, characterizes sacrifice as one expression of exchange: "Exchange did provide one of the oldest theoretical models for understanding the widespread ritual of sacrifice: the notion that sacrifices are gifts given to the gods or ancestors in the hope of receiving a gift in return.  This perspective is often summed up in three Latin words: do et des, "I give [to you], so that you will give [to me].'" Exchange in religious contexts involves the transfer of not only material goods but also intangible goods, such as offspring, honor, deferred rewards in the afterlife, and so forth.  Exchange also reflects and constructs social relationships.  Religious exchange, therefore, includes but is not limited to an economic transfer of material goods. - Kathryn McClymond, Beyond Sacred Violence: A Comparative Study of Sacrifice
"Exchange" is the oldest theoretical model for understanding sacrifice.
Practically everywhere it is understood that communication with the divine should be through exchange, through mutual giving, which is reflected in the circulation of gifts within the community or hierarchy of Creation of the Sacred. - Walter Burkert, Creation of the Sacred: Tracks of Biology in Early Religions
"Mantiklos has dedicated me to the far-shooting god with the silver bow, from the tenth of his profit; you, Phoibos, give pleasing return." This plainly states that the relation between a god and his pious worshiper is an exchange of gifts. - Walter Burkert, Creation of the Sacred: Tracks of Biology in Early Religions
"All things are exchange (antamoibe) for fire, and fire for all things, as goods for gold and gold for goods," Heraclitus wrote explicitly referring to commerce as the paradigm of the cosmic order. - Walter Burkert, Creation of the Sacred: Tracks of Biology in Early Religions
The invention of the free market, of money, and of putting a price on the merchandise brings changes to the system. Whereas giving creates a bond between the persons who give and those who receive, money exchange is impersonal. Still, "exchange" remains the basic process, goods for money, or money for goods, on the basis of choice, of partnership, and, ideally, of bilateral profit. Even if state-controlled contributions are paid by taxes, the expectation remains that the citizen will get a return for what he is giving, be it privileges, prestige, or just personal safety. Even the prestigious gift has remained, sometimes called "sponsoring" in a more modern vein; it is a form of ceremonial waste not without the expectation of the "pleasant returns." - Walter Burkert, Creation of the Sacred: Tracks of Biology in Early Religions
What is not in doubt is that the conclusions Mauss draws in the ‘Essai sur le don’, and the kind of liberal society he advocates in its conclusion, are a world away from Bataille’s formulation of a general theory of the economy beyond the sphere of utility. In the few pages he devotes to sacrifice in this work, Mauss writes: ‘The relationship that exists between these contracts and exchanges among  humans and those between men and their gods throw light on a whole aspect of the theory of sacrifice’. As an explanatory principle, this is remarkably similar to Tylor’s analogy of ‘man’s dealings with man’, and comes to much the same conclusions. ‘The purpose of destruction by sacrifice’, Mauss goes on to say, ‘is precisely that it is an act of giving that is necessarily reciprocated’. - Simon Elmer, The Enigma of Sacrifice
The things which the worshipper really gives his gods are not the foods which he places upon the altars, nor the blood which he lets flow from his veins: it is his thought.  Nevertheless, it is true that there is an exchange of services, which are mutually demanded, between the divinity and its worshippers.  The rule do ut des, by which the principle of sacrifice has sometimes been defined, is not a late invention of utilitarian theorists: it only expresses in an explicit way the very mechanism of the sacrificial system and, more generally, of the whole positive cult.  So the circle pointed out by Smith is very real; but it contains nothing humiliating for the reason.  It comes from the fact that the sacred beings, though superior to men, can live only in the human consciousness. - Emile Durkheim, The Elementary Forms of the Religious Life
The mere fact of sacrifices to deities, from the lowest to the highest levels of culture, consisting to the extent of nine-tenths or more of gifts of food and sacred banquets, tells forcibly against the originality of the abnegation-theory.  If the primary motive had been to give up valuable property, we should find the sacrifice of weapons, garments, ornaments, as prevalent in the lower culture as in fact it is unusual.  Looking at the subject in a general view, to suppose men to have started by devoting to their deities what they considered practically useless to them, in order that they themselves might suffer a loss which none is to gain, is to undervalue the practical sense of savages, who are indeed apt to keep up old rights after their meaning has fallen away, but seldom introduce new ones without a rational motive.  In studying the religion of the lower races, men are found dealing with their gods in as practical and straightforward a way as with their neighbours, and where plain original purpose is found, it may well be accepted as sufficient explanation. - Edward Burnett Tylor, Primitive Culture
The benefits of religion for the majority have been primarily of the orders of kama, artha, and dharma. The cult has served as a magical device to assure an abundance of food and youngsters, power over enemies, and the linkage of the individual to the order of his society. It has served, that is to say, as a means to engage him in the desi, the local, ethnic context, and has supplied, in compensation, assurance of a continuance of the goods of kama, artha, and dharma beyond the grave. One's little offerings of finger-joints, pigs, sons and daughters, or even of oneself, seem to have meaning in a sort of mystical barter system; and one's peccadillos, missed by the police, can be counted on to eat from within, like rats, doing the work of the law. - Joseph Campbell, Primitive Mythology
Instances of this practice are reported to have occurred among the ancient Greeks and Phenicians.  In a grievous famine, after other great sacrifices, of oxen and of men, had proved unavailing, the Swedes offered up their own king Domaldi.  Chinese annals tell us that there was a great drought and famine for seven years after the accession of T'ang, the noble and pious man who had overthrown the dynasty of the Shang.  It was then suggested at last by some one that a human victim should be offered in sacrifice to Heaven, and prayer by made for rain, to which T'ang replied, "If a man must be the victim I will be he."  Up to quite recent times, the priests of Lower Bengal have, in seasons of scarcity, offered up children to Siva; in the years 1865 and 1866, for instance, recourse was had to such sacrifices in order to avert famine. - Edward Westermarck, The Origin and Development of the Moral Ideas
There is a productive activity, an exchange activity, and a distributive activity. In the first, something of value is taken for an end which requires its transformation, all productive activities being transformative. In the second, the transformed object is replaced, or held to be replaced, through a transaction - in this case what we might call a heavenly transaction - by another thing of another nature and greater worth. There is then a distributive activity : the replacement or countergood of higher worth is shared between those who sustained the original loss. - W. E. H. Stanner, On Aboriginal Religion: I. The Lineaments of Sacrifice
So let me see if I can get this straight.  We have noneconomists who see sacrifice as economics and economists who see sacrifice as noneconomics.  That's why it's significant progress for Leeson to see sacrifice as economics...even if his theory failed to reflect what noneconomists have known for ages.

This paradox is so strange though because the Bible, which is easily the most widely read book, is all about sacrifice for abundance sake.  In other words...the most widely read book of all time is a book on economics.  People who have read the bible many times over are noneconomist economists.

The beginning of the Bible...the Garden of Eden...and the end of the Bible...Heaven...are both characterized by abundance and the absence of sacrifice.  Everything in between is a lesson on how to sacrifice for abundance sake.

Recently I stumbled upon this webpage by The United Church of Christ... The Bible on stewardship: key passages.  It offers quite a few passages specifically dealing with  how to get the most bang for your buck.

One of the most well known stories from the Bible is the story of Abraham's willingness to sacrifice his son Issac.  The reward for his demonstrated preference was not small.  From Genesis 22:16-18...
16 And said, By myself have I sworn, saith the LORD, for because thou hast done this thing, and hast not withheld thy son, thine only son:
17 That in blessing I will bless thee, and in multiplying I will multiply thy seed as the stars of the heaven, and as the sand which is upon the sea shore; and thy seed shall possess the gate of his enemies;
18 And in thy seed shall all the nations of the earth be blessed; because thou hast obeyed my voice.
Derrida deconstructed Abraham's opportunity cost...
By preferring my work, simply by giving it my time, my attention, by preferring my activity as a citizen or as a professional philosopher, writing and speaking here in a public language, French in my case, I am perhaps fulfilling my duty. But I am sacrificing and betraying at every moment all my other obligations: my obligation to the other others whom I know or don’t know, the billions of my fellows (without mentioning the animals that are even more other others than my fellows), my fellows who are dying of starvation or sickness. I betray my fidelity or my obligations to other citizens, to those who don't speak my language and to whom I neither speak or respond, to each of those who listen or read, and to whom I neither respond nor address myself in the proper manner, that is, in a singular manner (this is for the so-called public space to which I sacrifice my so-called private space), thus also to those I love in private, my own, my family, my son, each of whom is the only son I sacrifice to the other, every one being sacrificed to every one else in this land of Moriah that is our habitat every second of every day.
Moriah is where Abraham took Issac to be sacrificed.

Towards the end of Leeson's paper...he relates how the Kond people were willing to replace the property protection offered by human sacrifice with the property protection offered by the British government.  I'm skeptical.  In general...it seems like most other historical accounts indicate that government intervention simply drove such practices underground.  That seems more logical because...why not hedge your bets?

That being said, the idea of the state replacing religion is definitely solid.
In short, persons are afraid to be free. As subsequent discussion will suggest, socialism, as a coherent ideology, has lost most of its appeal. But in a broader and more comprehensive historical perspective, during the course of two centuries, the state has replaced God as the father-mother of last resort, and persons will demand that this protectorate role be satisfied and amplified. -  James M. Buchanan, Afraid to be free: Dependency as desideratum
The reason the market works is because of choice, constant change, competition, churn...creative destructionism...all towards the maximization of the benefit that we derive from society's limited resources...
Capitalism [...] is by nature a form or method of economic change and not only never is but never can be stationary. [...] The fundamental impulse that sets and keeps the capitalist engine in motion comes from the new consumers’ goods, the new methods of production or transportation, the new markets, the new forms of industrial organization that capitalist enterprise creates. [...] The opening up of new markets, foreign or domestic, and the organizational development from the craft shop and factory to such concerns as U.S. Steel illustrate the same process of industrial mutation [...] that incessantly revolutionizes the economic structure from within, incessantly destroying the old one, incessantly creating a new one. This process of Creative Destruction is the essential fact about capitalism. It is what capitalism consists in and what every capitalist concern has got to live in. - Joseph Schumpeter,  Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy
The reason that the state does not work is because it's missing everything that makes the market work.  With the market...some people will invariably be harmed by the destructive aspect...they will lose their jobs because of modernization...but everybody benefits as a result of the creative aspect....limited resources being used more efficiently.  However, knowing that you could be the victim of random and unforeseen acts of destruction is a source of great anxiety.
Along with instability comes economic insecurity. Being constantly vulnerable to market forces beyond one’s control is a recipe for personal anxiety. It is not conducive to increasing productivity and investment in skills, which require a more long-term perspective. - Frank Stilwell, Oh, the morality: why ethics matters in economics
Whenever I feel as if I'm on a path toward certain doom, which happens every time I pay attention to the news, I like to imagine that some lonely genius will come up with a clever solution to save the world. Imagination is a wonderful thing. I don't have much control over the big realities, such as the economy, but I'm an expert at programming my own delusions. -   Scott Adams, How to Tax the Rich
Scott Adams doesn't seem to be aware of Nietzsche's rule.  Somebody coming up with a clever solution to save the world means that a temple must be destroyed.  The more clever the solution the greater the destruction.  Discovering a cure for war would put countless people out of work.

From Leeson's paper...
Despite its primitivity, Kond agriculture was capable of "resulting in no small share of rural affluence" (C.R. 1846a: 49). The extent to which a Kond community enjoyed such affluence depended on "the capricious climate" most notably local weather and animal activity, which varied across communities from year to year (van den Bosch 2007: 203).  The fortune of a good season produced comparative bounty for lucky communities. The misfortune of a bad season produced comparative deprivation for unlucky ones.
As a result of the anxiety caused by instability, people cling to the state like people cling to religion like children cling to their parents.
One mutah, for example, "promise[d] to relinquish from henceforth the rite of human sacrifice" on the condition "That they shall be received into the immediate protection of the Government, and shall always obtain justice from it". Another similarly agreed "to relinquish the rite of sacrifice 'upon the condition of their receiving protection and peace and justice from the Government'". Soon other communities "spontaneously proffered to relinquish the sacrifice mainly on the condition of obtaining protection and justice, and actually pledged themselves accordingly".
Did they really relinquish the rite of sacrifice?  No...because the state, just like any other deity, requires payment in exchange for the promise of stability...
It may help to see this point if we think of a modern phenomenon which can be compared with child sacrifice, that of war.[...]  But once it had broken out (or even a little bit earlier) it became a "religious" phenomenon.  The state, the nation, national honor, became the idols, and both sides voluntarily sacrificed their children to these idols.  [...]  The fact that, in the case of child sacrifice, the father kills the child directly while, in the case of war, both sides have an arrangement to kill each other's children makes little difference. - Erich Fromm, The Anatomy of Human Destructiveness
So do you put yourself in God's hands...or the state's hands?
"It can be reasoned that if one believes God determines worldly affairs, then there is little reason for individuals to participate in civic events," study leader Robyn Driskell and her colleagues write in the June issue of the journal Social Science Quarterly. "God is taking care of things." - Jeanna Bryner, Non-voters: It's all in God's hands
Unlike with the Konds, for the "developed" nations...the transition of going from god's hands to the state's hands wasn't so abrupt...
On the whole, then, we seem to be justified in inferring that in many parts of the world the king is the lineal successor of the old magician or medicine-man. When once a special class of sorcerers has been segregated from the community and entrusted by it with the discharge of duties on which the public safety and welfare are believed to depend, these men gradually rise to wealth and power, till their leaders blossom out into sacred kings. - James George Frazer, The Golden Bough
So the idea of a separation between church and state is meaningless from the economic perspective.  Here in the United States we have two prominent religions...Conservatism and Liberalism.  Both compete for believers and both promise abundance...
A canon attributed to St. Patrick enumerates among the blessings that attend the reign of a just king “fine weather, calm seas, crops abundant, and trees laden with fruit.” On the other hand, dearth, dryness of cows, blight of fruit, and scarcity of corn were regarded as infallible proofs that the reigning king was bad. - James George Frazer, The Golden Bough
Walter Burkert used the term "nonobvious causality" for when it wasn't exactly clear how a sacrifice would produce abundance.  Given that the Democrats and Republicans have been going back and forth for the past 100 years...it seems self-evident that we're dealing with nonobvious causality.
Jules: This was Divine Intervention! You know what "divine intervention" is?
Vincent: Yeah, I think so. That means God came down from Heaven and stopped the bullets.
Jules: Yeah, man, that's what it means. That's exactly what it means! God came down from Heaven and stopped the bullets.
Vincent: I think we should be going now.
Jules: Don't do that! Don't you fucking do that! Don't blow this shit off! What just happened was a fucking miracle!
Vincent: Chill the fuck out, Jules, this shit happens.
Jules: Wrong! Wrong, this shit doesn't just happen.
Vincent: Do you wanna continue this theological discussion in the car, or at the jailhouse with the cops?
Jules: We should be fuckin' dead now, my friend! We just witnessed a miracle, and I want you to fucking acknowledge it!
Vincent: Okay man, it was a miracle, can we leave now?
More nonobvious causality...
   "I want to stay," said Twoflower.  "I think ceremonies like this hark back to a primitive simplicity which - "
   "Yes, yes," said Rincewind, "but they're going to sacrifice her, if you must know."
   Twoflower looked at him in astonishment.
   "What, kill her?"
    "Yes."
    "Why?"
    "Don't ask me.  To make crops grow or the moon rise or something.  Or maybe they're just keen on killing people.  That's religion for you." - Terry Pratchett, The Light Fantastic
Even more...
The idea that U.S. leaders should just “hand over” basic facets of government like regulation and a legal system to God is a stark abdication of all responsibility as a public servant that could have very real, very serious consequences for Americans. As Salon’s Justin Elliott notes, Perry responded to a historic drought in Texas by calling for three days of prayer for rain in April. “How did that work out? The AP reported June 29: ‘Drought-stricking Texas declared natural disaster area.” - Tanya Somanader, Rick Perry Wants To Leave Government ‘In God’s Hands,’ Says ‘God, You’re Gonna Have To Fix This’
When Arnold Kling posted a blog entry with the title...I Doubt the Business Model...he was conveying that the causality was nonobvious.

As a pragmatarian...I advocate that taxpayers should have the freedom to choose where their taxes go.  From my perspective...the causality between pragmatarianism and abundance is obvious.  For most people though...the causality is nonobvious.  For example...here's David Friedman doubting the business model...
I don't think that letting taxpayers allocate their taxes among options provided by the government solves the fundamental problems of government. - David Friedman
Yet...here's David Boaz considering the business model...
In the private sector, the voluntary sector of the economy, we know that something is "well worth the money" if people are willing to spend their own money on it. In government, politicians work to separate the payment of taxes from the receipt of specific services. We're not asked "will you pay $100 right now for farm subsidies and $4000 for Medicaid and $1600 for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and $130 for a new presidential helicopter and ... ?"
If we did get such a question, we might well decide that lots of government programs were not "well worth the money" to the people who would be paying the money. - David Boaz, Well Worth the Money
Pragmatarianism would put taxpayers in a position to doubt the business model.  They would be able to doubt that farm subsidies are worth $100 and doubt that Medicaid is worth $4000 and doubt that the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are worth $1600 and doubt that a new presidential helicopter is worth $130.

So how would giving taxpayers the freedom to doubt the business model not solve the fundamental problems of government?

Paying taxes is for the common good...but the common best is giving people the freedom to doubt the business model.  If David Friedman doubts that taxes are truly necessary...then he would have the freedom to doubt the IRS's business model by not giving any of his taxes to the IRS.  Giving him, and millions and millions of other taxpayers, the freedom to choose how their taxes are spent truly would solve the fundamental problems of government.
But progress is made by finding non-obvious uses for what we have; otherwise we are left in stagnation.- Zachary Gochenour, Progress or Poverty: The Economics of Land and Discovery

Saturday, December 3, 2011

The Devil's Advocate for Public Goods

The following represents a mash-up of my responses to these three different discussions...

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In the Garden of Eden God instructed Adam that he could eat the fruit from ALL the trees in the garden EXCEPT for one tree....The Tree of the Knowledge of Good and Evil...aka the Tree of Conscience. God limited Adam and Eve's freedom...but the serpent managed to convince Eve...who then managed to convince Adam...to choose to doubt God's one simple rule.

The moral of that story was that you shouldn't doubt higher authority...you shouldn't think for yourself. Instead, you should submit your will to those in charge. You should have enough faith to completely "put yourself in God's hands".

How convenient for those in charge...right? Isn't that why Marx lamented that religion is the opium of the masses? It's hard for people to revolt if they believe that heaven is the reward for submitting to a higher authority. It seems reasonable to say that progress would be severely restricted if people did not doubt commonly held beliefs. According to Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr..."to have doubted one's first principles is the mark of a civilized man."

We should never take limits to our freedom for granted. The trick is understanding that we all accept different justifications for having our freedoms limited. Shemsky believes that the freedom to swing your fist ENDS where somebody else's nose begins. In other words, he believes that the Non-Aggression Principle (NAP) is the only justification for limiting our freedoms. Mark Friedman, on the other hand, believes that taxes are only justified to the extent that they help protect our property from others...with a few "reasonable" exceptions. The majority of people, however, believe that taxes are only justified to the extent that they maximize the benefit to society as a whole.

There are no "natural rights" though. You can't hang out in a lion's den and expect the lions to respect the NAP. The only principle that we can observe in nature is survival of the fittest. Therefore, limits to our freedoms are only legitimate in terms of consensus.

If the consensus is for taxes to maximize the benefit to society...then why do we allow congresspeople, rather than taxpayers, to allocate taxes? Why did we ever allow a king, rather than elected representatives, to allocate taxes? The answer is that we're always in the Garden of Eden. The serpent represents those of us who fundamentally challenge the current system.

People in the middle ages were too stupid to realize that they were in the middle ages. Incidentally, does anybody know who said that? For the life of me I can't remember who it was. Anyways, the fact of the matter is that we're never "civilized"...we're always in the process of becoming civilized. Society will always be a work in progress.

There is no logical or rational explanation supporting the commonly held belief that congress can allocate taxes more efficiently than taxpayers could. We all have unique values. The only way that we can accurately convey our values is by putting our money/time where our mouths are. Each "consumer" that we take out of the picture skews the distribution of public goods. What happens when we take all but 538 consumers out of the picture? Obviously we end up with a very inefficient allocation of public goods. To steal Obama's favorite analogy...this is why the "car" ends up in the "ditch". It's why the car will always end up in the ditch...unless we somehow manage to help people understand that society as a whole will benefit by allowing taxpayers to drive.

The moral of my story is that playing the role of devil's advocate is only worthwhile if we can truly understand why people are willing to put public goods in congress's hands.

Thursday, November 24, 2011

The Psychology of Political Change

[Update 25 Nov 2011] The Crooked Timber liberals finally decided to publish this comment.  They published plenty of later comments before publishing my comment so now I'm even more curious what their hesitation was.

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Those cheeky Crooked Timber liberals.  They are "cheeky" because they are over in the UK and because they deem it necessary to block a few of my comments.  Here's the first comment of mine that they blocked...Crooked Timber Liberals and now they've gone and blocked another comment of mine.  Here's my comment which I tried to post on their entry on Fatalism, Polling Data and Experimental Philosophy.

It's really no big deal that they block some of my comments...but I can't help but be curious how they rationalize their decisions to do so.

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Locus of control, which has already been mentioned, is the first thing that comes to mind...but Self-efficacy and Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs are two relevant psychological concepts that haven't been mentioned yet. Well...then the debate probably just boils down to nature versus nurture.

Obama promised everybody "change" but certainly the OWS protesters don't seem to feel like any real change was delivered. Does anybody feel like Obama followed through with his promise of real change? What would qualify as real change?

In the Bible "miracles" were possible if people had enough faith... "Jesus answered and said unto them, Verily I say unto you, If ye have faith, and doubt not, ye shall not only do this which is done to the fig tree, but also if ye shall say unto this mountain, Be thou removed, and be thou cast into the sea; it shall be done." Mathew 21:21

How many people have lost faith in the current political system? How pervasive is political alienation? Who has the real power?

In ancient times people believed that the king had "divine authority". Then some Barons lost faith in the king and took the power of the purse away from the king. Did that qualify as real change? Since then we've learned how scarce resources are efficiently allocated. Yet...parliament still maintains the power of the purse.

If we truly want real change...if we truly want to empower people...then we should allow taxpayers to directly allocate their taxes...aka pragmatarianism. Your ability to genuinely consider the validity of this idea reflects the degree to which your thinking has conformed to traditions. Conforming your thinking to traditions restricts your ability to think outside of the box.

Contrary to the bible...real change is not the result of faith...it is the result of doubt.

Tradition, thou art for suckling children,
Thou art the enlivening milk for babes;
But no meat for men is in thee.
Then --
But, alas, we all are babes. - Stephen Crane

There is no logical or rational basis for 535 congresspeople allocating people's taxes. The only way to ensure the efficient allocation of taxes is to allow taxpayers to directly allocate their taxes. This would force taxpayers to consider the opportunity costs of their taxes. Millions and millions of taxpayers deciding whether they wanted to have their cake OR eat their cake would reveal their true values and guarantee the best possible use of limited public funds.

Monday, October 31, 2011

Deontological Ethics vs Pragmatic Ethics

Whether it's political or religious in nature...there's not much you can do with dogma.  Generally I try and steer clear of it but recently I got a bit tricked...twice no less!  The back to back instances involved a revolutionary communist and a natural rights libertarian.  What tricked me was that the communist in several of his blog entries referred to himself as "pragmatic" while the libertarian acknowledged some type of "fairness" principle.

Even though the communist and the libertarian are at nearly opposite ends of the political spectrum...their conclusions on pragmatarianism were strikingly similar.  The communist concluded that I was full of BS and the libertarian concluded that I was incoherent.

When two relatively intelligent people with widely different political views come to the same conclusion...then it's reasonable cause for doubt.  Doubt is nothing new for me though as it's been a fairly constant companion ever since I transitioned to advocating, rather than just considering, pragmatarianism.  That's ok though because, according to Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr..."to have doubted one's own first principles is the mark of a civilized man."

The concept of "doubt" is quite interesting.  As I mentioned in my post on the divine disparity...Adam and Eve were kicked from the Garden of Eden because the serpent introduced Eve to her very first doubt...which she then passed on to Adam.  In my post I also mentioned the story of Abraham...who didn't seem to express any doubt when he was about to sacrifice his son Issac.  Then of course there was doubting Thomas.

Jesus himself had this to say about doubt...
Jesus answered and said unto them, Verily I say unto you, If ye have faith, and doubt not, ye shall not only do this which is done to the fig tree, but also if ye shall say unto this mountain, Be thou removed, and be thou cast into the sea; it shall be done.  Mathew 21:21
Buddha, on the other hand, said this...
O how they cling and wrangle, some who claim
For preacher and monk the honored name!
For, quarreling, each to his view they cling.
Such folk see only one side of a thing.
Tightly clinging to absolute morals or universal rules is the realm of deontological ethics.  Conversely,  pragmatic ethics takes a larger perspective on morals, rules and laws.  It requires trying to stand outside of your own perspective.

Many of the concepts that we consider "absurd" today were considered "absolute" 500 years ago...isn't it possible that many of the concepts that we consider "absolute" today will be considered "absurd" in 500 years?

In my post on absurdity spotting I shared Herbert Spencer's awesome broad sweeping perspective where he offers numerous examples of the absurd functions that have been fulfilled by various governments at different times.  In a later post on awesomeness spotting I shared a few examples of awesome innovations to public healthcare and education.

Pragmatarianism does not require that you doubt your first principles or see an issue from multiple perspectives...it just requires that you respect and tolerate people's freedom to allocate their individual taxes to the government functions that they deem to be ethical/awesome/necessary.  In other words...pragmatarianism is an expression of political tolerance.

To misquote Voltaire..."I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it."  The pragmatarian would say..."I disapprove of how you allocate your taxes, but I will defend to the death your right to do so."  Well...whether a pragmatarian would actually become militant would depend on their first principles.

Personally, I was a minimal state libertarian my entire life until I genuinely considered the free-rider problem.  If I acknowledged that the free-rider problem would result in insufficient funding for national defense...then why wouldn't the free-rider problem apply to all the other public goods that I wanted to kick over to the private sector?

When confronted with this same dilemma most libertarians beat a hasty retreat back to the safety of their universal and absolute ethical principles.  My ethical principles were based on J.S. Mill's Harm Principle...which basically conveys the idea that the freedom to swing my first ends where your nose begins.  It's considerably more flexible than stricter libertarian axioms...so I was left on shaky ground with no sources to refer to in order to help stabilize my ideological foundations.

The shaky ground proved to be quite fertile though...it allowed a hypothetical scenario that I'd considered long ago to germinate and grow into pragmatarianism.  Perhaps doubting takes us a step closer to enlightenment.

Incidentally, a member of the Libertarian Party on Facebook recently shared a link to Jeffrey Miron's blog entry on Poverty and Libertarianism.  Much to my surprise Miron acknowledged that the free-rider problem wouldn't only apply to national defense.  That was the very first instance that I had ever run across of a libertarian making that acknowledgment.

Most of us are familiar with the story of the blind men and the elephant.  Right now we are all like blind men arguing over the scope of government.  In order to accurately discern what the scope of government should actually be...each and every taxpayer should be allowed to add their unique perspective to the puzzle.  This would simply involve giving taxpayers the freedom to spend their individual taxes on the government functions that they believe to be truly necessary.

So what do you think?  Am I incoherent and full of BS?  Perhaps...but Socrates and Hayek would have certainly agreed that it's wiser to err on the side of underestimating how much any of us truly knows.
The problem is thus in no way solved if we can show that all the facts, if they were known to a single mind (as we hypothetically assume them to be given to the observing economist), would uniquely determine the solution; instead we must show how a solution is produced by the interactions of people each of whom possesses only partial knowledge. To assume all the knowledge to be given to a single mind in the same manner in which we assume it to be given to us as the explaining economists is to assume the problem away and to disregard everything that is important and significant in the real world. - Friedrich August Hayek, The Use of Knowledge in Society
[Update Dec 2012] Here are a few relevant passages that I've since run across...
The psychologist was not only an authority to whom one owes obedience, but a representative of Science and of one of the most prestigious institutions of higher education in the United States.  Considering that science is widely regarded as the highest value in contemporary industrial society, it is very difficult for the average person to believe that what science commands could be wrong or immoral.  If the Lord had not told Abraham not to kill his son, Abraham would have done it, like millions of parents who practiced child sacrifice in history.  For the believer neither God nor his modern equivalent, Science, can command anything that is wrong. - Erich Fromm, The Anatomy of Human Destructiveness
Yet the history of thought should warn us against concluding that because the scientific theory of the world is the best that has yet been formulated, it is necessarily complete and final. We must remember that at bottom the generalisations of science or, in common parlance, the laws of nature are merely hypotheses devised to explain that ever-shifting phantasmagoria of thought which we dignify with the high-sounding names of the world and the universe. In the last analysis magic, religion, and science are nothing but theories of thought; and as science has supplanted its predecessors, so it may hereafter be itself superseded by some more perfect hypothesis, perhaps by some totally different way of looking at the phenomena—of registering the shadows on the screen—of which we in this generation can form no idea. The advance of knowledge is an infinite progression towards a goal that for ever recedes. - James George Frazer, The Golden Bough
It is easy to believe; doubting is more difficult. Experience and knowledge and thinking are necessary before we can doubt and question intelligently.  Tell a child that Santa Claus comes down the chimney or a savage that thunder is the anger of the gods and the child and the savage will accept your statements until they acquire sufficient knowledge to cause them to demur.  Millions in India passionately believe that the waters of the Ganges are holy, that snakes are deities in disguise, that it is as wrong to kill a cow as it is to kill a person - and, as for eating roast beef…that is no more to be thought of than cannibalism.  They accept these absurdities, not because they have been proved, but because the suggestion has been deeply embedded in their minds, and they have not the intelligence, the knowledge, the experience, necessary to question them.
We smile…the poor benighted creatures!  Yet you and I, if we examine the facts closely, will discover that the majority of our opinions, our most cherished beliefs, our creeds, the principles of conduct on which many of us base our very lives, are the result of suggestion, not reasoning…
Prejudiced, biased, and reiterated assertions, not logic, have formulated our beliefs. - Dale Carnegie, Public Speaking for Success
Our creed is that the science of government is an experimental science, and that, like all other experimental sciences, it is generally in a state of progression. No man is so obstinate an admirer of the old times as to deny that medicine, surgery, botany, chemistry, engineering, navigation, are better understood now than in any former age. We conceive that it is the same with political science. Like those physical sciences which we have mentioned, it has always been working itself clearer and clearer, and depositing impurity after impurity. There was a time when the most powerful of human intellects were deluded by the gibberish of the astrologer and the alchemist; and just so there was a time when the most enlightened and virtuous statesman thought it the first duty of a government to persecute heretics, to found monasteries, to make war on Saracens. But time advances; facts accumulate; doubts arise. Faint glimpses of truth begin to appear, and shine more and more unto the perfect day. The highest intellects, like the tops of mountains, are the first to catch and reflect the dawn. They are bright, while the level below is still in darkness. But soon the light, which at first illuminated only the loftiest eminences, descends on the plain and penetrates to the deepest valley. First come hints, then fragments of systems, then defective systems, then complete and harmonious systems. The sound opinion, held for a time by one bold speculator, becomes the opinion of a small minority, of a strong minority, of a majority of mankind. Thus the great progress goes on, till schoolboys laugh at the jargon which imposed on Bacon, till country rectors condemn the illiberality and intolerance of Sir Thomas More. - Thomas Macaulay