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Showing posts with label Netflix. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Netflix. Show all posts

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Scott Sumner VS Utopia

We also need to understand the different roles played by different people in society. The democratic system helps to prevent policy from getting too far out ahead of the public. The immediate implementation of Bryan's open borders proposal might lead to a backlash against immigration, whereas this sort of backlash is less likely from a more cautious proposal that advances through both houses and is signed by the President. The role of intellectuals is (and should be) very different from the role of policymakers. Broad policy goals (not details) should reflect the wisdom of voters, even if the average voter is not very smart. Intellectuals should try to shape public opinion (although they will always be less influential than filmmakers.) - Scott Sumner, How much idealism is ideal? 

The wisdom of voters?  Is there such a thing?  Here's a list of books...

The Origin Of Species
Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone
The Handmaid’s Tale
A Tale of Two Cities
50 Shades of Grey
Principia
The Bible
War and Peace
A Theory of Justice
The Cat in the Hat
The Wealth of Nations
The Hunger Games

Imagine if this list was sorted by a bunch of college students. One group of students would use voting to rank the books while another group would use spending.  To be clear, the spenders wouldn’t be buying the books, they would simply be using their money to express and quantify their love for each book. All the money they spent would be used to crowdfund this experiment.

How differently would the voters and the spenders sort the books?  In theory, the voters would elevate the trash while the spenders would elevate the treasure. This would perfectly explain the exact problem with Google, Youtube, Netflix, Twitter, Reddit, Facebook, Medium and all the other sites where content is ranked by voting. Democracy is a major obstacle to the maximally beneficial evolution of society and its creations. Of course I might be wrong.

Am I wrong?

Tuesday, March 13, 2018

The Economics of Netflix

My comment on The Economics of Netflix’s Bright, a Netflix Original Movie Starring Will Smith (available on Netflix dot com) by spivonomist

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Netflix doesn't know the demand for its content.  Netflix knows exactly how many subscribers watched Bright.  Netflix knows exactly how many times each subscriber watched Bright.  Netflix knows exactly how many subscribers gave Bright a thumbs up/down.  But Netflix does not know the demand for Bright. 

Netflix could easily reveal the demand for Bright simply by giving subscribers the freedom to "earmark" their subscription dollars to their favorite content.  To be clear, this isn't the iTunes model.  Bright would not be behind a paywall.  Netflix subscribers would not have to pay to watch Bright.  Instead, each month subscribers would have the opportunity to allocate as many of their $10 subscription dollars as they wanted to Bright.  The total amount of subscription dollars allocated to Bright would be the demand for it. 

I'm guessing that each month you would allocate $0 subscription dollars to Bright.  Netflix has 100 million subscribers though.  They don't equally hate/love Bright.  Out of 100 million subscribers, one subscriber loves this movie the most.  How many subscription dollars would this subscriber be willing to allocate to Bright in one month... in one year... in one decade? 

Which movie/show on Netflix do you love the most?  How many subscription dollars would you be willing to allocate to it in one decade?  Personally, I love The Man From Earth.  In a decade perhaps I'd be willing to allocate $840 subscription dollars to it, assuming that Netflix didn't supply a movie that I loved even more.  Is this a reasonable assumption? 

Consider these three things...

A. Criticizing the worst content
B. Giving a thumbs up to the best content
C. Allocating many subscription dollars to the best content

Which one would most improve Netflix's supply of content? 

The biggest problem in the world is that most people don't understand the benefit of knowing the demand for things.